Blog Archive

July 25, 2008

Ambassador José António Amorim Dias



His Excellency, Mr. José António Amorim Dias, Ambassador Extraordinary and Plenipotentiary of the Democratic Republic of Timor-Leste to the European Union, the UNESCO, on the right, and Hoang Kim from Brussels to Paris 25/07/2008.

http://www.mfac.gov.tp/media/mr040115e.html
http://www.accessmylibrary.com/coms2/summary_0286-24835144_ITM

July 24, 2008

July 16, 2008

CURRENT SITUATION OF CASSAVA IN VIETNAM AND THE SELECTION OF CASSAVA DOUBLED HAPLOID (DH) LINES DERIVED FROM CIAT

Hoang Kim, Nguyen Van Bo, Reinhardt Howeler and Hernan Ceballos

ABSTRACT
In Vietnam, cassava is now the fourth most important food crop and an important source of cash income for small farmers, who either use it for animal feeding or for sale to starch factories. In 2006, cassava production was about 7.71 million tonnes, up from only 1.99 million tonnes in 2000. This was the result of both area expansion, from 237,600 ha in 2000 to 475,000 ha in 2006, and marked increases in yield, from 8.36 t/ha in 2000 to 16.25 t/ha in 2006. There are now 60 cassava starch factories in operation with a total processing capacity of 3.2-4.8 million tonnes of fresh roots/year. Vietnam has recently developed an E10 policy requiring the production of 100 to 150 million liters of fuel-ethanol from cassava per year. Vietnam is now the second largest exporting country of cassava products while animal feed factories also contribute significantly to the increasing demand for cassava roots.

Cassava yields and production in several provinces have more than doubled due to the planting of new high-yielding cassava varieties in about 350,000 ha, and the adoption of more sustainable production practices.

Since 2001-2007, a total of 24,073 cassava sexual seeds from CIAT and 37,210 seeds from 9-15 cross combinations made in Vietnam, 38 breeding lines (mainly from Thailand), and 31 local farmers’ varieties, have been planted. Of these, 98 of the best lines are now in the final stages of the selection process, and the most promising, KM140, has recently been released.

Key words: Cassava in Vietnam, Bio-fuel, cassava doubled haploid lines derived from CIAT

INTRODUCTION
Cassava (Manihot esculenta Crantz) in Vietnam has been rapidly changed its role from food crop to industrial one in the beginning of 21st Century. In 2006, area planted to cassava was 475,000 hectares, with total production of 7.71 million tons of fresh root and average yield of 16,25 tons per hectare (FAO, 2008). As compared to the year 2000, the production increased threefold; fresh root yield augmented twofold with increasing rate of 14.7% annually.

Vietnam is now the second largest exporting country of cassava products after Thailand while animal feed factories also contribute significantly to the increasing demand for cassava root. Cassava starch has become as one of the top seven promising exporting commodities and is attracting attentions from many local government authorities. In Vietnam, there are 60 cassava processing factories in operation, with capacity about 3.2 - 4.8 million tons of fresh root, produce about 800,000 - 1,200,000 tons of starch annually, of which 70% for export and 30% used domestically. Vietnam has recently developed an E10 policy requiring the production of 100 to 150 million liters of bio-ethanol from cassava per year (Hoang Kim et al. 2008).

Vietnam has made the fastest progress in application of new technologies in breeding and new cultivar propagation in Asia, (Kazuo Kawano 2001, CIAT Review 2005). Such progress has been considered as a result of many factors, of which the success in breeding and application of new technologies were the main contributing factors (Hoang Kim et al. 2007). The Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Development (MARD) has planned to remain cassava area around 380,000 to 500,000 hectares from 2006 -2010 and efforts to increase fresh root yield from 16.25 ton/ha in 2006 to 18.00 ton/ha in 2010 by using new technologies, especially in breeding.

To meet the demands raising cassava cultivation, we have caried out the study on the development of cassava cultivar good yield and qualities for different ecological zones in whole country in collaboration by Nong Lam University (NLU) and Vietnam Academy of Agricultural Sciences (VAAS) with International Center for Tropical Agriculture (CIAT). We are also openning of IFAD/ICRISAT Project “Harnessing water –use efficiencet bio-energy crops for enhancing livehood opportunities of smallhooder farmers in Asia, Africa and Latin America”. The objectives of this study cover in: 1) Current situation of cassava production and consumption in Vietnam; 2) The selection of cassava doubled haploid (DH) lines derived from CIAT. 3) Lessons learned from the Vietnam Cassava Program and the potential of cassava as a bio - fuel feedstock for increasing demand of cassava.

1. CURRENT SITUATION OF CASSAVA PRODUCTION AND CONSUMPTION IN VIETNAM

1.1 Review of cassava production in Vietnam

Cassava in Vietnam is among the four most important food crops (Table 1). But it has always been considered a secondary crop even though it has played an important role in national food security.



During the past two decades of economic renovation, Vietnam has successfully escaped lingering food deficiency. Cassava now an important source of cash income to small farmers, who either use it for animal feeding or for sale to starch factories.

1.1.1 Cassava production areas.
Viet Nam is a humid tropical, long and narrow country, located between latitudes 8.5° and 23.5° North and longitudes 102° and 110° East. The narrowest part is only 40 km wide. Toward the east lies the sea and towards the west the Truong Son Mountain range. The terrain is highly varied and tends to slope down towards the sea. This results in marked differences in soils and climatic conditions between regions (Fig. 1),



Figure 1: Agro-climatic map of Vietnam
Adapted from Agro-climatic map of SE Asia by Huke 1982
Source: Hoang Kim, Pham Van Bien and R.H. Howeler 2003
http://www.fao.org/docrep/009/y1177e/y1177e00.htm

Because of this topographic and climatic heterogenuity the country has been divided into seven more or less homogeneous agro-ecological zones i.e. the north Mountainous Region (which includes the Northern Highlands and Midlands), the Red River Delta, the North Central Coast, the South Central Coast, the Central Highlands, the Southeastern Region and the Mekong Delta

The soils of Viet Nam are closely associated with its topography. The mountainous and hilly areas of the northern and central part of the country are mainly Ultisols with some Oxisols in the more tropical regions of the south (Fig.2)



Figure 2: Soil map of Vietnam
Adapted from FAO World Soil Map by R.H. Howeler
Source: Hoang Kim, Pham Van Bien and R.H. Howeler 2003
http://www.fao.org/docrep/009/y1177e/y1177e00.htm

Large areas of Inceptisols are found mainly in the Mekong and Red River deltas as well as along smaller rivers and near the coast. The more recently developed Entisols are found mainly along riverbanks and along the coast. By overlying the cassava production map on the soils map, it is possible to estimate the area of the various soil orders on which cassava is grown. Thus, it was estimated that in Viet Nam about 66% of cassava is grown on Utisols, 17% on Inceptisols, 7% on Oxisols, 4% on Alfisols, 3% on Entisols and 2% on Vertisols (Howeler, 1992). The soil pH generally varies from 4.5 to 6.0. (Pham Van Bien et al., 1996)

In North Viet Nam about 68% of the cassava growing area has a rocky soil, while 18 and 12% have clayey and sandy soils, respectively. Rocky soils are prevalent in Ha Son Binh and Ha Bac provinces. Cassava is grown mainly in areas with ondulating and hilly topography. About 89% of cassava in North Viet Nam is grown on these kinds of soils (Pham Van Bien et al,1996).

In South Viet Nam most cassava soils are sandy in the Central Coastal area and in the Southeastern Region, while rocky soils predominate in Gia Lai-Kon Turn and are also common in Dac Lac province. The cassava growing areas in the provinces of the Central Highlands have a similar topography. In the Central Coastal Region and in the Southeastern Region, cassava is grown mainly on white-grey soils or coastal sandy soils. These regions are flat, soils are poor in nutrients and not suitable for rice cultivation. The cassava growing area in this type of soils accounts for more than 70% of the total cassava area of the south. In the Mekong Delta, cassava is not very important. Due to these marked differences in cassava soil characteristics, research in the north should concentrate on erosion problems and soil fertility enhancement, whereas in the south research on cassava soil improvement and conservation by using intercropping systems is of highest priority (Pham Van Bien et al.,1996).

The climate varies substantially between regions. The northern part of the country has a subtropical climate with low winter (15°C) and high summer (29°C) temperatures. Most rain falls during the summer months of May to September, but during the winter months of January-March there are many rainy days with almost constant drizzle, resulting in a low number of sunshine hours (Fig. 3).



Figure 3: Cassava cropping times in eight agro-ecological regions of Vietnam
Source: Hoang Kim, Pham Van Bien and R.H. Howeler 2003
http://www.fao.org/docrep/009/y1177e/y1177e00.htm

In the south, however, the climate is tropical with relatively small fluctuations in monthly temperatures (25–29°C). The rainy season is about one month delayed compared with the north, but total rainfall is similar. The dry season in the south is more intense, due to an almost complete lack of rain during 5–6 months. In the Central Coastal Region total rainfall is high, but it is poorly distributed with very heavy rainfall from September to November and a long dry season of 7–8 months.

Cassava production in Vietnam has mainly been allocated in the Central and Southeast with an increase in planted areas in 2001-2006 (see Figure 4).



Figure 4. Area and Output of Cassava in the Central provinces, Vietnam (1995-2006)

In 2006, cassava planted area has reached 474.8 thousand hectares, in which about 65% of total area was allocated in the Central and Southeast. It can be seen that the cassava production in Vietnam has been gradually shifted to the Central and the Southeast areas in the recent years, especially in Gia Lai, Kon Tum, Dak Nong and Dak Lak provinces in the Central highlands; Tay Ninh, Dong Nai, Binh Phuoc, Binh Thuan provinces in the Southeast; and Quang Nam, Quang Ngai, Binh Dinh and Phu Yen provinces in the South Central Coast. The three regions all have increased the areas of cassava production with different levels. Prominent among three regions is the Southeast with a significant increase in 2001.

1.1.2 Socio -economic conditions and cassava cultural practices
Cassava farm size in Viet Nam is small and does not vary much among locations. But, cassava farms in the Southeastern Region are on average double the size of those in North Viet Nam. Cassava area per farm for all of Viet Nam is small as well, and average 0.27 ha, with extremes for the Southeast (0.85 ha) and the North Mountainous Region (0.20 ha). When farms are classified according to size, 31.6% of the sampled farms are smaller than 0.6 ha, 35.5% are between 0.6–1.05 ha, and the remaining 33% are larger than 1.05 ha. Cassava cultural practices vary among agro-ecological regions and to go into details at CassavaViet (http://cassavaviet.blogspot.com/)

1.1.3. Cassava yield and output
There has a great achievement in cassava yield and output. During the 1980s and 1990s cassava production in Vietnam was in decline. But in the past six years, cassava production increased from 1.99 million tones in 2000 to 7.71 million tones in 2006. (Figure 5) Cassava in Vietnam has rapidly changed its role from a food crop to an industrial crop, with a high rate of growth during the first years of the 21st Century.




Figure 5. Cassava production and yield trends in Vietnam and Asia’s principal cassava producing countries, 1961-2006. (Source: Reinhardt Howeler and Keith Fahrne, 2008)

This was achieved through both area expansion, from 237,600 ha in 2000 to 474,800 ha in 2006, and marked increases in yield, from 8.36 tons/ha in 2000 to 16.25 tons/ha in 2006 (Table 1). New high-yielding cassava varieties (Table 4) and more sustainable production practices have increased the economic effectiveness of cassava production. In year 2006/07 about 350,000 ha of new varieties, mainly KM94, KM140, KM98-5, KM98-1, SM937-26, KM98-7 were grown, this corresponds to about 75 % of the total cassava area in whole country.




Cassava yields and production in several provinces have doubled, stimulated by the construction of new large-scale cassava processing factories. The cassava output in each region/province has been corresponding to the planted area and yield which greatly depends on the application of new high-yielding cassava varieties in each province and the adoption of more sustainable production practices (Pham Van Bien et al 2001, Hoang Kim et al. 2001) .

1.2 Review of cassava processing and market in Vietnam
Cassava now an important source of cash income to small farmers, who either use it for animal feeding or for sale to starch factories. While eighteen years ago there were no medium- or large-scale cassava starch factories in Vietnam, there are now 60 cassava processing factories in operation with a total processing capacity of 3.2- 4.8 million tones of fresh roots/year. Total cassava starch production in Vietnam was about 800,000- 1,200,000 tones, of which 70% was exported and 30% used domestically. Vietnam is now probably the second largest exporter of cassava products, after Thailand with 4.46 and about 0.81 million tones of cassava products exported, respectively. (Table 5).



Major markets of Vietnam’s cassava exports are the P.R. of China and Taiwan, Japan, Singapore, Malaysia, South Korea and countries in Eastern Europe. Besides, animal feed factories also contributed significantly to the increasing demand for cassava roots. Although in Vietnam cassava processing is a relatively new business and export volumes are still low, the cassava processing factories are new and modern. That is why Vietnam’s cassava products may have a competitive advantage in the world market.

2.3 Case study of cassava market in the Central provinces of Vietnam
On average, labour cost accounts for 59.9% of cassava production costs. In some regions, like the Binh Dinh and the Gia Lai, this may be as low as 52.8% and 68.7%, respectively (Table 6)




The average labour requirement is 125 mandays/ha. The second largest cost item is fertilizer, constituting 41.8% in Binh Dinh and 24.7% in Gia Lai, depending on farmers’ investment in fertilizer. With the selling price of fresh root of 900 VND/kg; farmers can earn 10,720 to 11,200 thousand VND/hectare. The total variable cost of cultivation in 2007 was about US$ 455- 567.5/ha, at an average root yield of 22.0 t/ha, the production cost would be US$ 20.68- 25.79 /t fresh roots. Gross income is US$ 1,155- 1,237.5 /ha. Net income is US$ 670 - 700/ha

Cassava export volumes through Quy Nhon Port are 500,000 and 700,000 tons in 2006 and 2007, respectively, of which about 10% provided by Binh Dinh and 90% collected from surrounding province like Phu Yen, Gia Lai, and Quang Ngai, Kom Tum etc. Regarding market channel, it can be seen that though cassava chip in Binh Dinh accounts for small portion (10%) in total export though Quy Nhon Port, Binh Dinh however, have its own advantages of having Port and in collecting chip from surrounding provinces.

In Binh Dinh province in 2007, about 250,541 tons fresh root has been sold in the market (81%). Reporting of farmers: 32% of fresh root has been processed by farmers for exportation; 22% of fresh root farmers sell to processing households, who process starch for domestic consumption; 19% farmers use for animal feeding or domestic consumption such as alcohol, cassava paper cake and so on. There has been only one cassava starch processing company with purchasing capacity of 27% total fresh root (Nguyen Van Ngai, Hoang Kim, Le Thanh Loan, Trần Van Loi, Nguyen Quoc Bao, 2008 - unpublish).

2. THE SELECTION OF CASSAVA DOUBLED HAPLOID (DH) LINES DERIVED FROM CIAT

The objectives of further genetic improvement of cassava varieties in Vietnam from 2001 to 2010 are: 1) to increase the yield potential and starch content, and enhance early harvestability; 2) to improve eating quality and the nutritional value, especially the carotene and micronutrient content of cassava. This can be achieved through an effective integration of advanced biotechnology techniques and conventional breeding methods. The aims of the 2006-2010 period are: 1) to increase the growing area of KM94 and other promising varieties up to 350 thousand hectares, or close to 60-75% of the total cassava area in the country; 2) to select and release 1-2 new varieties with high-yield capacity of 35-40 t/ha, a starch content of 27-30%, a growing period of 8-10 months, erect stems, short internodes, less branching, compact canopy, uniform root size, white root flesh and suitable for industrial processing; 3) to select short-duration varieties of high quality, suitable for fresh human consumption and animal feeds.

The introduce and development of cassava doubled haploid (DH) plants from CIAT could become an important tool to support hybrid cassava breeding (Zaida Letini, Hernan Ceballos 2003; Hernan Ceballos et al. 2007a. Hernan Ceballos et al. 2007b). Some promising doubled haploid (DH) lines were made, evaluated and test crossed in the field. In the 2001-2007 period, a total of 24,073 sexual seed, new hybrid cassava elite clones from CIAT and 37,210 hybrid seeds from 9-15 cross combinations in Vietnam, 38 breeders’ varieties (from Thailand, Colombia/CIAT, Brazil, China, India, Indonesia, Malaysia, Vietnam), 31 local farmers’ varieties, were planted at Hung Loc Center and Nong Lam University. Of these, 344 accessions of cassava were selected, maintained, and evaluated for priority traits (Table 7). Results of the selection, 98 cassava varieties were the best. KM140 is a supplementary variety for main variety KM94 in order to extend harvesting time, which are now ready for release (Hoang Kim, Nguyen Phuong, Tran Cong Khanh, Hernan Ceballos et al. 2008, http://cassavaviet.blogspot.com/)




Cassava variety KM140 is a hybrid selected from KM98-1 x KM 36 cross in 1998. Thirty cassava comparison experiments and two experiments for determining the best harvesting time of some cassava cultivars were carried out. On red soil in South East region, experiments were planted at beginning of rainy season and harvested after planting from 6,7,8,9,10,11 and 12 months. On grey soil, planted at beginning rainy season and harvested after 10,11 and 12 months.






The data revealed that KM140 has fresh root yield of 33.4 – 35.0 ton/ha, starch content of 26.1 -28.5%, starch yield of 9.5 – 10.0 ton/ha; better than that of KM94. Content of HCN in KM140 is 105.9 mg/kg dry matter, it can be used as fresh consumption, lower than that of KM94; its harvest index was 65%, good resistance to pests and diseases. KM140 is now playing an important role in cassava production in South East and Central Coastal regions, Central Highlands and the mountainous areas in the North (Tran Cong Khanh, Hoang Kim, Vo Van Tuan, Nguyen Huu Hy, Dao Huy Chien, Pham Van Bien, Reinhardt Howeler and Hernan Ceballos 2007)



In South East region, planting at middle of rainy season and harvesting 10 months later revealed that all cassava cultivars gave low starch content (16.6%-22.5%). If harvested 11 months after planting, almost cultivars had starch content around 25% satisfying the requirement of processors. If harvested 12 months after planting most of the cultivars gave good fresh root yield and starch content, but this would cause inconveniences for next crop cultivation. Planting at beginning rainy season and harvesting at 7,8 and 9 months after, KM140 gave fresh root yields of 23.5, 26.7 and 28.7 ton/ha, respectively, equal to that of KM94. Starch content of KM140 harvested 8 months after planting was 28.4% higher than that of KM94 (26.2%), with signnificant difference .

3. LESSONS LEARNED FROM THE VIETNAM CASSAVA PROGRAM AND THE POTENTIAL OF CASSAVA AS A BIO - FUEL FEEDSTOCK FOR INCREASING DEMAND OF CASSAVA.

3.1. Lessons learned from the Vietnam Cassava Program

Vietnam Cassava Program support by MARD in close cooperation with CIAT of the the Nippon Foundation project, promoted the rapid multiplication and wide distribution of high-yielding and high-starch varieties, and the adoption of sustainable cassava production practices, especially in the Central Coast, Central Highlands and Northern mountains and uplands. Ten million stakes of new varieties, mainly KM94, KM98-5 and KM140, were distributed to various provinces in this project. Up to now, year 2007/08, more than 350,000 ha of cassava in Vietnam were planted with new varieties; this corresponds to about 75- 80% of the total cassava area in the country.

Cassava yields and production in several provinces have doubled, stimulated by the construction of new large-scale cassava processing factories. New high-yielding cassava varieties and more sustainable production practices have increased the economic effectiveness of cassava production. Year 2004, example, with the establishment of new processing factories and increases in yield and starch content resulted in increased production of 2,225 thousand tonnes of fresh roots (371.500 ha x 6,07 t/ha= 2.225 tonnes or 578 thousand tonnes of starch; this means that approximately 814 billion VND (51,89 million US$) per year were added to farmers’ income (Table 8).



Many farmers have become rich by growing cassava. In An Vien and Doi 61 communes in Dong Nai province, for example, 97% of the agricultural land has poor gray sandy soil. Previously, farmers grew the old cassava varieties Gon and HL23 with average yields of about 9–12 t/ha. In recent years, by growing new high-yielding varieties and applying improved cultural practices, the average yield in this commune increased up to 16-32 t/ha. Many farmers are now growing varieties KM94, KM140 and KM98-5, obtaining 25-35 t/ha in areas of 3-5 hectares. In the Central provinces of Vietnam, the total variable cost of cultivation in 2007 was about US$ 455- 567.5/ha, at an average root yield of 22.0 t/ha, the production cost would be US$ 20.68- 25.79 /t fresh roots. Gross income is US$ 1,155- 1,237.5 /ha. Net income is US$ 670 - 700/ha. (Hoang Kim, Nguyen Van Ngai, Reinhardt Howeler and Hernan Ceballos, 2008)

Six essential conditions for a successful cassava R&D program include: Materials, Markets, Management, Methods, Manpower and Money (6 Ms). Main experiences in linking cassava R&D activities in Vietnam include: 1) Establishment of the Vietnam Cassava Program (VNCP) including advanced cassava farmers, researchers, extension worker, managers of cassava research and development projects, cassava trade and processing companies, and 2) The establishment of on-farm research and demonstration fields (farmer participation research FPR), and 3) Ten mutual link-up activities (10 T – in Vietnamese):

1. Thu nghiem Trials
2. Trinh dien Demonstrations
3. Tap huan Training
4. Trao doi Exchange
5. Tham vieng Farmer tours
6. Tham quan hoi nghi dau bo Farmer field day
7. Thong tin tuyen truyen Information, propaganda
8. Thi dua Competition
9. Tong ket khen thuong Recognition, praise and reward
10. Thanh lap mang luoi nguoi nong dan gioi Establish good farmers’ network



(Hoang Kim, Pham Van Bien and R.H. Howeler 2003, Reinhardt Howeler, 2004, Hoang Kim 2007, Tran Ngoc Ngoan and R.H. Howeler 2007, Tran Ngoc Ngoan 2008, Reinhardt H. Howeler, 2008, Hoang Kim et al . 2008).

3.2. The potential of cassava as a bio - fuel feedstock

Cassava ranks as the world’s fifth most important foot crop- after maize, rice, wheat and potato (Table 9). Cassava originated in South America and expended wildly to Asia, Africa and being cultivated in 101 countries in a range from 39oN to 30oS. Global production of cassava is around 226 million tons in year 2006 and about 54% of cassava in the world was produced in Africa, 30% in Asia, and only 16% in Latin America and the Caribbean (LAC). This crop is a staple food crop for many poor farm families around the world. It is also a source of commercial animal feed, starch for the food, candy, alcohol, noodle and pharmaceutical industries.



Cassava has one of the highest rates of CO2 fixation and sucrose synthesis for any C3 plant. This plant being used as a suitable feedstock for ethanol production across Asia. The starch-rich root crop is currently utilized in China and Thailand on an industrial scale . In China, cassava is seen as an important crop to use for the production of bio - fuels. The semi-tropical Guangxi region offers an ideal mix of climate and soil conditions for growing cassava. Compared with corn or wheat, the cost of using cassava to generate a ton of ethanol is 300–500 RMB ($38–$63) less. Guangxi currently produces some 8 million tons of cassava annually, accounting for more than 60 percent of the national total. Continued improvements, such as the introduction of better cassava varieties and plantation techniques, are expected to increase unit production of the crop. Moreover, an additional 670,000 hectares of hillside wastelands in Guangxi are suitable for growing the crop, adding to the existing 270,000 hectares of plantations. The region will also be able to obtain a stable supply of cassava from neighboring producer countries, including Vietnam.

Using cassava in bio- ethanol production is also a growing interest in Vietnam. Vietnam has developed an E10 policy requiring the production of 100 to 150 million liters per year. On November 20, 2007, Deputy Prime Minister Hoang Trung Hai, on behalf of the Prime Minister, approved “the scheme on bio-fuel development to 2015 and the vision to 2025”, aiming to produce bio-fuels and partly replace traditional fuels, contributing to ensure energy security and environment protection.

Petrosetco, a division of PetroVietnam, plans to build two tapioca-based ethanol plants in southern and central Vietnam. The state-run company signed two separate deals with Japan's Itochu Corp. and UK's Bronzeoak Group last year. The joint venture with Itochu will see the set up of a plant with a 75 million litre annual capacity in southern part of the country. Petrosetco and Bronzeoak are investigating the possibility of a 150 million litre plant in central Vietnam. Both plants will draw ethanol from tapioca chips sourced from within Vietnam, according to sources close to the projects. Media reports placed the investment values at around US$80 million to US$100 million for the joint venture between Petrosetco and Itochu, and US$138 million for the project with Bronzeoak (Energy Current 2008).

According to Mr. Tao-Chairman of Petrosetco, the two most potential raw material areas are the Southeast and Central Highlands and the current volume of tapioca chips exported of 1.2 million tons per year has been sufficient under the annual capacity of 400 million liters of ethanol.